Chasing the Gold: Predicting the 2026 BAFTA Winners

One Battle After Another leads the 2026 crop of BAFTA nominees with 14 mentions, Ryan Coogler’s Sinners follows close behind with 13. But, I predict February 22nd will be a particularly good night for Hamnet. Why? BAFTA tends to “spread the wealth,” more so than the Oscars, and tends to favor films with a home court advantage. The Brittish Academy went big for Conclave last year; they could course correct and rubber-stamp One Battle’s frontrunner status. Or deliver some surprises and give Chloé Zhao’s drama a much-needed boost.

For U.S. viewers, BAFTA will air with a delay on E!. Although a VPN will allow you to watch live as the event takes place on Sunday, February 22. Emmy-winning Traitors host Alan Cumming will serve as MC. And Paddington Bear is among the presenters, reason alone to tune in.

For more BAFTA analysis, listen to the latest episode of Chasing the Gold, with special guest Doug Jamieson of Filmotomy and The Jam Report.

Best Film

Hamnet – Projected Winner

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another – Runner-Up

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Outstanding British Film

28 Years Later

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Bridget Jones: Mad about the Boy

Die My Love

H Is For Hawk

Hamnet – Projected Winner

I Swear – Runner-Up

Mr Burton

Pillion

Steve

Leading Actress

Jessie Buckley – Hamnet – Projected Winner

Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You – Runner-Up

Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue

Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another

Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value

Emma Stone – Bugonia

Leading Actor

Robert Aramayo – I Swear

Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme – Projected Winner

Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another – Runner-Up

Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon

Michael B Jordan -Sinners

Jesse Plemons – Bugonia

Supporting Actress

Odessa A’zion – Marty Supreme

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value – Projected Winner

Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners – Runner-Up

Carey Mulligan – The Ballad of Wallis Island

Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another

Emily Watson – Hamnet

Supporting Actor

Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another

Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein

Paul Mescal – Hamnet – Runner-Up

Peter Mullan – I Swear

Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value – Projected Winner

Director

Bugonia – Yorgos Lanthimos

Hamnet – Chloé Zhao

Marty Supreme – Josh Safdie

One Battle After Another – Paul Thomas Anderson – Projected Winner

Sentimental Value – Joachim Trier

Sinners – Ryan Coogler – Runner-Up

Outstanding debut by a British writer, director or producer

The Ceremony

My Father’s Shadow – Runner-Up

Pillion – Projected Winner

A Want In Her

Wasteman

Film not in the English language

It Was Just An Accident 

The Secret Agent – Runner-Up

Sentimental Value – Projected Winner

Sirât

The Voice of Hind Rajab 

Documentary

2000 Meters to Andriivka – Runner-Up

Apocalypse in the Tropics

Cover-Up

Mr Nobody Against Putin

The Perfect Neighbor – Projected Winner

Animated Film

Elio

Little Amélie – Runner-Up

Zootropolis 2 – Projected Winner

Children’s and Family Film

Arco – Runner-Up

Boong

Lilo & Stitch

Zootropolis 2 – Projected Winner

Original screenplay

I Swear

Marty Supreme

The Secret Agent

Sentimental Value – Runner-Up

Sinners – Projected Winner

Adapted Screenplay

The Ballad of Wallis Island

Bugonia

Hamnet – Projected Winner

One Battle After Another – Runner-Up

Pillion

EE Bafta rising star award (voted for by the public)

Robert Aramayo – Projected Winner

Miles Canon

Chase Infiniti – Runner-Up

Archie Madekwe

Posy Sterling

Original Score

Bugonia – Jerskin Fendrix

Frankenstein – Alexandre Desplat

Hamnet – Max Richter – Runner-Up

One Battle After Another – Jonny Greenwood

Sinners – Ludwig Göransson – Projected Winner

Casting

I Swear

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another – Runner-Up

Sentimental Value

Sinners – Projected Winner

Cinematography

Frankenstein

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another 

Sinners – Projected Winner

Train Dreams – Runner-Up

Costume Design

Frankenstein – Projected Winner

Hamnet – Runner-Up

Marty Supreme 

Sinners

Wicked: For Good 

Editing

F1 – Projected Winner

A House of Dynamite 

Marty Supreme 

One Battle After Another – Runner-Up

Sinners 

Production Design

Frankenstein – Projected Winner

Hamnet – Runner-Up

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Make-up and Hair

Frankenstein – Projected Winner

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sinners

Wicked: For Good – Runner-Up

Sound

F1 – Projected Winner

Frankenstein

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Warfare – Runner-Up

Special visual effects

Avatar: Fire and Ash – Projected Winner

F1 – Runner-Up

Frankenstein

How to Train Your Dragon

The Lost Bus

British short film

Magid / Zafar 

Nostalgie

Terence

This Is Endometriosis 

Welcome Home Freckles 

British short animation

Cardboard

Solstice

Two Black Boys in Paradise

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