Chasing the Gold: Final Actor Awards (SAG) Predictions

The 32nd Annual SAG Awards will stream on Netflix, Sunday March 1st, beginning at 8pm EST.

Listen/Watch to the latest episode of Chasing the Gold for more in-depth analysis an see the latest updates on our Oscar Predictions page.

Here are awards editor Shadan Larki’s final predictions for the film categories at the 2026 Actor Awards, presented by SAG-AFTRA.

Cast Ensemble in a Motion Picture

• “Frankenstein” (Netflix)
  David Bradley, Christian Convery, Charles Dance, Jacob Elordi, Mia Goth, Oscar Isaac, Felix Kammerer, Lars Mikkelsen, and Christoph Waltz
• “Hamnet” (Focus Features)
  Joe Alwyn, Jessie Buckley, Noah Jupe, Paul Mescal, and Emily Watson
• “Marty Supreme” (A24)
  Odessa A’zion, Sandra Bernhard, Timothée Chalamet, Emory Cohen, Fran Drescher, Abel Ferrara, Penn Jillette, Koto Kawaguchi, Luke Manley, Tyler Okonma, Kevin O’Leary, Gwyneth Paltrow, Géza Röhrig, and Larry Sloman
• “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.) — Possible Upset
  Benicio del Toro, Leonardo DiCaprio, Regina Hall, Chase Infiniti, Sean Penn, and Teyana Taylor
• “Sinners” (Warner Bros.) — Projected Winner
  Miles Caton, Buddy Guy, Michael B. Jordan, Jayme Lawson, Delroy Lindo, Omar Miller, Wunmi Mosaku, Jack O’Connell, and Hailee Steinfeld

Male Actor in a Leading Role

• Timothée Chalamet, “Marty Supreme” (A24) — Projected Winner
• Leonardo DiCaprio, “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
• Ethan Hawke, “Blue Moon” (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Michael B. Jordan, “Sinners” (Warner Bros.) — Possible Upset
• Jesse Plemons, “Bugonia” (Focus Features)

Female Actor in a Leading Role

• Jessie Buckley, “Hamnet” (Focus Features) — Projected Winner
• Rose Byrne, “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” (A24)
• Kate Hudson, “Song Sung Blue” (Focus Features)
• Chase Infiniti, “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
• Emma Stone, “Bugonia” (Focus Features)

Male Actor in a Supporting Role

• Miles Caton, “Sinners” (Warner Bros.)
• Benicio Del Toro, “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.) — Projected Winner
• Jacob Elordi, “Frankenstein” (Netflix) — Possible Upset
• Paul Mescal, “Hamnet” (Focus Features)
• Sean Penn, “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)

Female Actor in a Supporting Role

• Odessa A’zion, “Marty Supreme” (A24)
• Ariana Grande, “Wicked: For Good” (Universal Pictures)
• Amy Madigan, “Weapons” (Warner Bros.) — Possible Upset
• Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners” (Warner Bros.) — Projected Winner
• Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)

Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

• “F1” (Apple Original Films/Warner Bros.) — Projected Winner
• “Frankenstein” (Netflix)
• “Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning” (Paramount Pictures) — Possible Upset
• “One Battle After Another” (Warner Bros.)
• “Sinners” (Warner Bros.)