Thursday, March 28, 2024

Chasing the Gold: 2021 Oscar Predictions – New Year, Same Oscar Race

2020 is gone. We rang in a new year this time last week and with that, we look to the new possibilities 2021 can provide everyone around the world. One thing the calendar change does provide is the realistic pathway to the creeping Oscar submission deadline on February 28th, 2021. With this in mind, I wanted to give my updated predictions in many of the major categories as of the start of this year. Not that much has changed in the race, but it’s fair to give a perspective for those curious to see where we are at right now before many of the major industry and critics groups announce more winners over the following two months. Considering all this, here is what I have as of January 7, 2021.

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Best Picture

  1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
  2. One Night in Miami
  3. Mank
  4. Nomadland
  5. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  6. Da 5 Bloods
  7. The Father
  8. Judas and the Black Messiah
  9. Promising Young Woman
  10. Minari

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Best Director

  1. David Fincher – Mank
  2. Chloe Zhao – Nomadland
  3. Spike Lee – Da 5 Bloods
  4. Regina King – One Night in Miami
  5. Florian Zeller – The Father

Netflix Releases Trailer for Chadwick Boseman's Final Film Role in Ma Rainey's Black Bottom: Watch | Consequence of Sound

Best Actor

  1. Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  2. Anthony Hopkins – The Father
  3. Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods
  4. Gary Oldman – Mank
  5. Kingsley Ben-Adir – One Night in Miami

Frances McDormand offered job at Target while shooting Nomadland | EW.com

Best Actress

  1. Frances McDormand – Nomadland
  2. Viola Davis –  Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  3. Carey Mulligan –  Promising Young Woman
  4. Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman
  5. Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday

Judas and the Black Messiah' New 2021 Release Date - Variety

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah
  2. Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7
  3. Bill Murray – On the Rocks
  4. Leslie Odom Jr.- One Night in Miami
  5. Chadwick Boseman – Da 5 Bloods

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Best Supporting Actress

  1. Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
  2. Olivia Colman – The Father
  3. Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
  4. Ellen Burstyn – Pieces of a Woman
  5. Amanda Seyfried – Mank

First Look at Aaron Sorkin's 'The Trial of the Chicago 7' | Vanity Fair

Best Original Screenplay

  1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
  2. Mank
  3. Promising Young Woman
  4. Judas and the Black Messiah
  5. Minari

Kemp Powers 'One Night in Miami' explores the Civil Rights movement - Variety

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. One Night in Miami
  2. The Father
  3. Nomadland
  4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  5. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

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Best Animated Film

  1. Wolfwalkers
  2. Soul
  3. Onward
  4. Over the Moon
  5. The Croods: A New Age

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Best Documentary

  1. Totally Under Control
  2. Collective
  3. Boys State
  4. Dick Johnson is Dead
  5. Time

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Best International Feature

  1. Another Round
  2. Night of the Kings
  3. Collective
  4. Quo Vadis, Aida?
  5. A Sun

David Fincher's 'Mank' Trailer Debuts

Best Cinematography

  1. Mank
  2. Nomadland
  3. Da 5 Bloods
  4. Tenet
  5. Judas and the Black Messiah

Aaron Sorkin's Trial of the Chicago 7 drops first look at '60s-set Netflix film | EW.com

Best Film Editing

  1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
  2. Mank
  3. The Father
  4. One Night in Miami
  5. Tenet

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Best Production Design

  1. Mank
  2. Emma.
  3. Mulan
  4. News of the World
  5. The Trial of the Chicago 7

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom' showcases the triumphs of Black people, not just our burdens

Best Costume Design

  1. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  2. Mank
  3. Emma
  4. The United States vs. Billie Holiday
  5. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Netflix Just Released the Trailer for Hillbilly Elegy and It's Rightfully Getting Skewered: Watch | Consequence of Sound

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

  1. Hillbilly Elegy
  2. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  3. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
  4. Mank
  5. Birds of Prey

Review: 'Sound Of Metal' Delivers A Searing Riz Ahmed Performance : NPR

Best Sound

  1. Sound of Metal
  2. Mank
  3. Tenet
  4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  5. News of the World

Tenet: Christopher Nolan Didn't Show Films That Inspired Him to Cast | IndieWire

Best Visual Effects

  1. Tenet
  2. The Invisible Man
  3. The Midnight Sky
  4. Wonder Woman 1984
  5. Mank

Soul movie review & film summary (2020) | Roger Ebert

Best Original Score

  1. Soul
  2. Mank
  3. Tenet
  4. News of the World
  5. The Trial of the Chicago 7

Leslie Odom Jr. on playing Sam Cooke in 'One Night in Miami' | EW.com

Best Original Song

  1. “Speak Now” – One Night in Miami
  2. “Seen” – The Life Ahead
  3. “Hear My Voice” – The Trial of the Chicago 7
  4. “Rocket to the Moon” – Over the Moon
  5. “Wuhan Flu” – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Check back next month for more updated predictions and look out for more Chasing the Gold Oscar coverage coming soon!

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